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In February 2026, month-over-month pending home sales rose slightly with gains in the Midwest, South and West, but declines in the Northeast. Improved affordability seems to have led to a climb in pending contracts, but regions like the Northwest continued to be held back by the combination of higher home prices and a shortage of supply. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun warns, “Conditions could reverse if higher oil prices lead to an uptick in mortgage rates.”
Yun continued, “For first-time homebuyers, purchasing a home is not a snap decision. It takes time to build credit, save for a down payment, and fulfill existing rental lease agreements. Still, there is sizable pent-up demand that could be released into the market. Although job gains have been sluggish in recent months, there are still 6 million more jobs in the country than in the pre-COVID period.”
Next release: Pending Home Sales for March 2026 will be released on Tuesday, April 21, 2026 at 10 a.m. Eastern.
The Pending Home Sales Index (PHS), a leading indicator of housing activity, measures housing contract activity, and is based on signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos, and co-ops. Because a home goes under contract a month or two before it is sold, the Pending Home Sales Index generally leads Existing-Home Sales by a month or two.










