Economists' Outlook

Housing stats and analysis from NAR's research experts.

NAR publishes forecasts each month based on the inflow of updated economic data. Here are the latest take-aways regarding the outlook for next year:

  • No economic recession in sight. The GDP is expected to rise 2.5 percent in 2012. That is, the income of everyone combined in the U.S. will rise by 2.5 percent.
  • The net job creation is expected to be 1.5 to 2 million. The national unemployment rate will slide to 8.4 percent by this time next year.
  • The baseline forecast for existing home sales is a rise of 5 percent, while home prices will finally turn positive, albeit by only 2 percent. The total industry commission revenue, therefore, can be expected to rise by around 7 percent.
  • New home sales will rise by 16 percent. A stronger comeback is in the cards, after brutal declines during the housing bust years.

The detailed forecast can be found here >

Notice: The information on this page may not be current. The archive is a collection of content previously published on one or more NAR web properties. Archive pages are not updated and may no longer be accurate. Users must independently verify the accuracy and currency of the information found here. The National Association of REALTORS® disclaims all liability for any loss or injury resulting from the use of the information or data found on this page.

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